President TrumpDonald John TrumpSenate advances public lands bill in late-night vote Warren, Democrats urge Trump to back down from veto threat over changing Confederate-named bases Esper orders ‘After Action Review’ of National Guard’s role in protests MORE holds a 5-point lead over former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenHillicon Valley: Biden calls on Facebook to change political speech rules | Dems demand hearings after Georgia election chaos | Microsoft stops selling facial recognition tech to police Trump finalizing executive order calling on police to use ‘force with compassion’ The Hill’s Campaign Report: Biden campaign goes on offensive against Facebook MORE in Texas, according to a new poll.

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The University of Texas-Texas Tribune poll released Saturday showed Trump at 49 percent support and Biden at 44 percent, with 7 percent of voters saying they were undecided.

Among independent voters, 39 percent favored Trump, 29 percent favored Biden and 32 percent said they haven’t formed an opinion.

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The poll suggests that come November, the nation’s second-most populous state could see its closest general election in more than two decades.

In 2016, Trump defeated Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonWhite House accuses Biden of pushing ‘conspiracy theories’ with Trump election claim Biden courts younger voters — who have been a weakness Trayvon Martin’s mother Sybrina Fulton qualifies to run for county commissioner in Florida MORE in Texas by 9 points. In 2012, Sen. Mitt RomneyWillard (Mitt) Mitt RomneyMilley discussed resigning from post after Trump photo-op: report Trump on collision course with Congress over bases with Confederate names Attorney says 75-year-old man shoved by Buffalo police suffered brain injury MORE (R-Utah) defeated former President Obama by 16 points in the state, and in 2008, the late Sen. John McCainJohn Sidney McCainThe Hill’s Campaign Report: Bad polling data is piling up for Trump Cindy McCain ‘disappointed’ McGrath used image of John McCain in ad attacking McConnell Report that Bush won’t support Trump reelection ‘completely made up,’ spokesman says MORE (R-Ariz.) defeated Obama by 12 points.

The poll also found that 49 percent of Texans “approve strongly” of the president, which is slightly higher than a February poll. Among Republicans, 90 percent say they approve of the job he is doing, while 87 percent of Democrats say they disapprove.

Daron Shaw, a pollster at the University of Texas at Austin and co-director of the poll, argued that the election will be a referendum on Trump’s tenure, saying in a statement that “it’s Trump, Trump, Trump all the time. And all the news is about coronavirus.”

Trump also polls better with minority communities in Texas than he does nationally. Sixteen percent of black voters and 40 percent of Latino voters said they’d vote to reelect the president. Female voters are split 46 percent to 46 percent between both candidates. 

The online poll of 1,200 registered voters was conducted April 10 to April 19 and has a 2.83 percentage point margin of error.